Rolling Recession? Or, Old Fashion Cyclical Sectors?
There is a new term being “heard on the street” … “Rolling Recession”. A Rolling Recession seems to be a description of an economy where some sectors (including hospitality, healthcare, oil & gas, non-discretionary consumer) are expected to outperform and continue to hire people, while other sectors (including housing, manufacturing, finance, and IT) are expected to underperform and hiring will be tighter.
The sectors which are expected to outperform and underperform seem to be the same sectors that have traditionally been known as cyclical versus non-cyclical sectors.
The more things change – the more they stay the same!
Given the liquidity in the market (see previous newsletter ), it seems likely that the markets will continue to outpace, on the upside, economic predictions.
Please contact us at info@deerislegroup.com if you or someone you know would like to learn more about how we can help them with their capital sourcing. We believe that the earlier, especially when capital markets are tough, an organization receives professional help defining their investment proposition, the better the results will be.
Capital Provider Interest – We have demand for stable, cash flowing middle market companies that capital investment can modernize to enhance returns.
Private Equity – European Leverage? We are seeing banks in Europe continuing to lend at attractive rates in contrast to US corporate lending. Typical rates for middle market companies ($75 million+ revenue) seem to be:
- Sr Bank Debt – Euribor+1.5 to 2.5%
- Interest Only Bank Debt – Euribor 2.5 to 3.5%
Venture Capital – Lay-offs to Conserve Cash: We are hearing that its not only the big tech firms that are laying off to improve cash flow. Many smaller firms are doing so as well which means hiring weakness in this sector is greater than the headlines.
GP/LP Secondaries/Continuation Funds: We have seen 5+ Continuation Fund deals in the past month alone as GP’s continue to use the structure to create liquidity.
Contact Us
info@deerislegroup.com
Founded in 2007, Deer Isle Group empowers Capital Participants with the right tools to ensure transparent, smooth, and efficient direct capital contact. Since our founding, we have successfully transacted over $5 billion in capital, through Deer Isle Capital, LLC (our FINRA registered broker/dealer), for companies and funds in a wide variety of security types, sectors, and geographies.
The foundation of our approach is innovative unbundled capital capabilities, expertise, and guidance that are customizable depending upon Capital Participant’s requirements.
These include Beacon, a proprietary technology that offers Capital Participants “Direct Issuance/Contact” capabilities, as well as capital markets brand building which helps ensure capital markets success today and, in the future, to a curated set of relevant potential Capital Participants from a universe of 10,000+ institutional capital markets organizations/45,000+ institutional capital markets people. In addition, Deer Isle provides “as needed” Strategic Capital ConsultingTM services to prepare for a capital or M&A transaction including Strategic Capital PositioningTM, Strategic Capital ModelingTM and Due Diligence Preparation, as well as Closing Advisory/Guidance expertise, through Deer Isle Capital, for structuring, negotiating, and completing a successful capital/M&A transaction.
